by Olivier Nyirubugara.
When she left the Netherlands in January 2010, the victory Ingabire hoped to occupy some room in the political space of his country of origin to the Rwanda.Elle wanted to even run for the Presidency to challenge incumbent President Paul Kagame, who finally won the race almost one-horse with 93% of the votes.
Ingabire has been authorized or save his party, nor his candidature.Au place, she has been accused disseminate the genocidal ideology. His lawyer, Peter Erlinder was captured and imprisoned for the same offence, but was released later, after pressure from the United States and around the world.
Apparently, proven does not quite high charges. A new has been added: Ingabire is a terrorist, prepare attacks on the key witness Rwanda.Un purchased weapons so that it is already in custody.It is a State security case and nobody can access son.ainsi, status of ambitious politician operating from its European exile, Ingabire proven a "terrorist", the most serious crime for which other politicians have received a sentence of life imprisonment.
It should be noted that his arrest and historic speech of President Kagame on 7 October, many analysts saw as a turning point in its relations with the West. Except the front attack and mocking now critical Western followers, Kagame has proudly announced that it is important to "political space is fully occupied and by the people of this country", who spoke in "large number"-- freely.
Now that the Ingabire is in prison, in the hands of those that it constantly and violently criticized, three scenarios are possible for the coming months and the first années.Tout, there would be Ingabire is a very unlikely to be fulfilled by the Rwandan courts, as two of the most serious crimes in post-genocide Rwanda to hang on the head. So it will probably spend the coming years in 1930, the famous central prison in Kigali, where she would be isolated from other inmates for fear that it could contaminate the.It could then be invited or pushed to repent and ask for a presidential pardon, which was the case of former President Pasteur Bizimungu.This scenario consists of a psychological, followed by death and what resulted, politique.Bernard death resulted is in this scenario.
The second scenario is that the judicial farce would lead to international outrage and increasing pressure from Western supporters.Judges would then receive a teaching his conditional or unconditional release.Bishop Augustine Misago and recently Ingabire Peter Erlinder counsel were in this scenario. This is "abandoned" and would probably release some room fully and completely occupied political space
A third scenario could be envisaged: Physics died in detention. Vice President of party of green anyway, what Rwisereka was decapitated and nothing which is is passé.Le reasoning could go in the direction of a slow death, apparently natural but assistée.Mari Ingabire, fears of Lin Muyizere already for the health of its wife, whose blood pressure is supposed to be very faible.Elle has also be sleep on bare soil and receive food or appropriate medication.
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